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World War Three has started
There won't be a WWIII in the foreseeable future, the reason is simple:
War needs two sides, but there are only one side that is capable of fighting a world war, the other big powers, such as Russia and China, they are strong, but they lack the necessary power projection capabilities to really do anything to the US other than when US is poking its militarily head into their sphere of influence, but the US will not try to invade either of those two countries or threat their vital national interest so severely that the only course they can take is to enter a war with the US, let's say the US decide to invade Iran, there isn't' much Russia or China can do even if they want to send troops to Iran to fight the Americans, of course, they have ballistic missiles, but I'm pretty sure that either of them want to risk their own destruction for Iran by starting a nuclear exchange, the previous two world wars happened because so many great powers were situated so close to each other, therefore, when there were colonies to fight about, they will be able to settle their differences in the far-away land, they were fighting a war, but they were fighting a limited war far from their homeland, that's what Britain and France did, at the beginning of the last century, Germany can only fight effectively in Europe, and continental Europe was of vial interest to Britain, France and Russia, and don't forget the prevailing ideology then, especially in Germany, demanded the war to be fought as total war, and the outcome of war would be the total victory by one side and destruction by another side, so the war became not a way to settle who got how much profit/colony, instead, it became fundamental to the survival of a nation state, that's why world wars happened, currently, there is no serious overlap of vital national interest among major powers that require settlement through war, and either Russia, China, US or the European powers see their survival dependant on the subjugation of others, sure, some small nations may think otherwise, but without the direct involvement of major powers on opposing side, there will be unlikely that a regional war like the invasion of Iraq or the possible invasion of Iran will turn out to be the end of the world. |
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